Annual Fossil-Fuel CO₂ Emissions: Uncertainty of Emissions Gridded by One Degree Latitude by One Degree Longitude

V2016 Uncertainties    V2016 Documentation

Contributors

R.J. Andres and T.A. Boden
Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center
Environmental Sciences Division
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831-6290 U.S.A.

DOI

DOI: 10.3334/CDIAC/ffe.AnnualUncertainty.2016

Brief Overview

The annual, gridded fossil-fuel CO₂ emissions uncertainty estimates from 1950-2013 provided in this database are derived from time series of global, regional, and national fossil-fuel CO₂ emissions (Boden et al. 2016). Andres et al. (2016) describes the basic methodology in estimating the uncertainty in the (gridded fossil fuel data product ). This uncertainty is gridded at the same spatial and temporal scales as the mass magnitude maps. This gridded uncertainty includes uncertainty contributions from the spatial, temporal, proxy, and magnitude components used to create the magnitude map of FFCO2 emissions. Throughout this process, when assumptions had to be made or expert judgment employed, the general tendency in most cases was toward overestimating or increasing the magnitude of uncertainty.